Is Tesco stock too expensive?

The Tesco share price is up 7.7% in the past three months, but is it already too pricey or can it rise more?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The share price of FTSE 100 supermarket Tesco (LSE: TSCO) remained stubbornly unmoving in the past, despite the fact that there is a whole lot going for it, to my mind. But not in the last three months. Its share price has risen 7.7%. 

How does it compare to the FTSE 100?

This is not just a share price increase in absolute terms though. It is also one in relative terms. As a result, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio now stands at around 25 times. 

I use the P/E often to understand better how the stocks I like are priced against each other. It is also helpful in assessing where they can head in the future. Knowledge of the ratio for the FTSE 100 index as a whole is particularly handy in conducting this exercise. It is at around 15 times at present. 

This means that the Tesco share price is much higher than that of the index as a whole. Does this mean that it is pricey? Not necessarily, I feel. While other companies have struggled in the past year as coronavirus infections wreaked havoc, the supermarket actually made gains. 

Why the Tesco share price is high

And this was not only because grocers were still in business or we were buying more household products. The company also stepped up its home delivery service. As a regular user of this service, I can vouch for it. The point I am underlining here is that Tesco made the most of the opportunity that presented itself, which could just as easily have been squandered.

Also, I see supermarket stocks as good defensive shares. Their fortunes do not change dramatically in recessions, and are good to hold in uncertain times. As the economy is not out of the woods yet and some coronavirus risks could still derail progress, I can see why the company’s share is priced higher in relative terms. 

It also has a dividend yield of 4.3%. This is not the highest yield around, but it is higher than the average FTSE 100 yield of 3.3%. One way to look at this is that it may have a higher-than-average share price, but it also has a higher-than-average dividend yield. So that does make up for a higher P/E to some extent.  

What I’d do now

I think that there is a possibility that its share price may ‘correct’ a bit. As the economy becomes stronger, cyclical stocks should start showing better results. Indeed, this is already becoming evident in incoming updates. Defensives can fall out of investor favour to some extent in such an environment. 

But then again, I think financially healthy defensive shares are good to hold for the long term. In market economies like ours, slowdowns are a part of our ongoing reality, against which the likes of Tesco can be a good hedge. Especially with its dividend yield, I am not complaining and would buy it today.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Manika Premsingh has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

3 FTSE 100 takeover targets

The FTSE 100 is on a tear, and so is takeover activity. Here are three Footsie firms where premium bids…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s where I see the Aviva share price ending 2024

Insurance giant Aviva has been gaining momentum in recent times. But where could its share price end the year? This…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£5,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d start investing with a Stocks and Shares ISA

A Stocks and Shares ISA acts as a great investment vehicle for investors looking to maximise their gains. Here, this…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

£11,185 in savings? Here’s how I’d target a £18,466 passive income with FTSE 100 stocks

Our writer describes how he’d seek to turn a lump sum into a five-figure passive income by investing in some…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

I’d buy 2,386 shares of this FTSE 100 dividend growth stock to aim for £3,612 a year in passive income

After a 33% decline, Rentokil Initial shares could be a great choice for investors looking for a lifetime of reliable…

Read more »

British Isles on nautical map
Investing Articles

After reaching another record high, are there still bargains on the FTSE 100?

As the FTSE 100 continues to surge, are there still opportunities available for investors to pick up bargains? This Fool…

Read more »

Middle-aged black male working at home desk
Investing Articles

2 top passive income shares to consider buying in May

Royston Wild thinks now's a great time to go shopping for UK passive income shares. Here are two of his…

Read more »

Middle-aged black male working at home desk
Investing Articles

Are FTSE 250 shares still a bargain?

Here’s a FTSE 250 stock I’m considering right now for my portfolio because of its value and growth credentials –…

Read more »